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Pump.fun parent programs: migrated vs not migrated

This study compares Pump.fun launches from the latest 24-hour data window. For each token it counts distinct buys by parent_program during slots launch_slot + 1 through launch_slot + 128, keeps tokens with at least 48 buys, and labels it migrated when the mint appears in pfamm_migrations by the cohort cutoff. Launches without a complete 128-slot horizon are excluded.

Window end: 2026-08-23T11:20:03Z · Eligible tokens: 2,992

Cohorts

CohortTokensShare of eligible launchesMean buys in first 128 slots
Migrated2598.66%141.5
Not migrated2,73391.34%116.4

Parent-program composition

Every token is normalized to a distribution before cohort averaging, so a high-volume token cannot dominate the result. The difference is migrated minus not migrated, in percentage points.

Parent programMigratedNot migratedDifference
FLASHX8DrLbgeR8FcfNV1F5krxYcYMUdBkrP1EPBtxB935.880%37.188%-1.308 pp
<direct>25.854%30.782%-4.928 pp
MAyhSmzXzV1pTf7LsNkrNwkWKTo4ougAJ1PPg47MD4e17.995%9.370%+8.626 pp
6Vo3245eszAb5wuqEMw8mGdbfRUdKbHhDHP5LcaGuTAB4.984%3.340%+1.643 pp
term9YPb9mzAsABaqN71A4xdbxHmpBNZavpBiQKZzN33.991%4.050%-0.059 pp
GMgnVFR8Jb39LoXsEVzb3DvBy3ywCmdmJquHUy1Lrkqb4.035%4.021%+0.014 pp
9ddjzqYhSTMHaBrrKukRXRfy4WzHUPjdX88uPXZ7MXyn1.319%0.255%+1.064 pp
7bopoA2tnvDYEfp54FhgNDiLR9wSPcEs9J7FaUGURsXj0.912%0.293%+0.619 pp
J7pourVwqP1VtRNBiFNqbdGxwkx7ta2LHAURURRRJqmd0.676%0.576%+0.099 pp
JUP6LkbZbjS1jKKwapdHNy74zcZ3tLUZoi5QNyVTaV40.589%0.455%+0.135 pp
proVF4pMXVaYqmy4NjniPh4pqKNfMmsihgd4wdkCX3u0.061%0.556%-0.496 pp
FAdo9NCw1ssek6Z6yeWzWjhLVsr8uiCwcWNUnKgzTnHe0.313%0.524%-0.211 pp
Other (175 programs)3.391%8.590%-5.198 pp

View the profile SQL on GitHub and the cohort calculation.

Migration is observed only through the displayed cutoff. Tokens launched near that cutoff have less time to migrate, so the not-migrated cohort is right-censored. This descriptive comparison does not establish causality or predict future migration.